Research
Publications
Featured
Short summaries for a few representative pieces.
Online speech and communal conflict: Evidence from India
Summary
Draws on 22 million downloaded social media posts to show that both divisive and conciliatory posts affect subsequent levels of communal attacks in India.
How fear of violence drives intergroup conflict
Summary
Connects individual-level fear to downstream intergroup attitudes and escalation-related preferences using panel data to show how fear perpetuates conflict.
Societal determinants of flood-induced displacement
Summary
Shows that hazard exposure alone is not enough: societal vulnerability helps explain when floods translate into displacement, with implications for prevention and protection.
False inference in spatial conflict event studies
Summary
Uses Monte Carlo simulation to diagnose common failure modes in spatial event-data inference and motivates practical checks and better default choices.
Beyond Hate Speech: Online Rumors and Out-Group Resentment in Divided Societies.
Online speech and communal conflict: Evidence from India.
Societal determinants of flood-induced displacement.
How fear of violence drives intergroup conflict: Evidence from a panel survey in India.
A Monte Carlo analysis of false inference in spatial conflict event studies.
How indiscriminate violence fuels conflicts between groups: Evidence from Kenya.
Climatic conditions are weak predictors of asylum migration.
Aid, exclusion, and the local dynamics of insurgency in Afghanistan.
The political legacy of violence: The long-term impact of Stalin’s repression in Ukraine.
Using night light emissions for the prediction of local wealth.
Violence and civilian loyalties: Evidence from Afghanistan.
Geographic determinants of indiscriminate violence in civil wars.
Regions at risk: predicting conflict zones in African insurgencies.
Geography, outcome, and casualties: a unified model of insurgency.
Population attitudes and the spread of political violence in sub-Saharan Africa.
Matched wake analysis: finding causal relationships in spatiotemporal event data.
Diffusion patterns of violence in civil wars.